Monday, April 8, 2013

Kentucky Derby Top 20 #5

The last edition of the Kentucky Derby Top 20 was prior to the Louisiana Derby, Florida Derby, Wood Memorial, and Santa Anita Derby. There is plenty of shake-up this week. With the impressive performances by Revolutionary, Orb, Verrazano, and Goldencents, and the unfortunate defections of Flashback and Hear the Ghost we are reminded of the roller coaster that is the Kentucky Derby trail.

Kentucky Derby Top 20
1. Verrazano- Re-watched his Wood Memorial performance, it was really good, he is the horse to beat. 
2. Revolutionary- I had him number 1 but Castellano jumping ship was a major factor and moved him down one. 
3. Orb- He was impressive in his Florida Derby win, but the race was slow. 
4. Normandy Invasion- He ran well in the Wood, he is going to be bet down on the first Saturday in May
5. Oxbow- I like this horse a lot, he always fires. A good effort in the Arkansas Derby bumps him up
6. Goldencents- Great performance in 9 furlong SA Derby, with 105 Beyer he is a danger, but 10 furlongs is a MAJOR question 
7. It'smyluckyday- Florida Derby was essentially a race off the layoff, so he may improve on Derby day, but I do not think he is good enough to win
8. Vyjack- He had every chance to get by Verrazano, distance is a question. 
9. Mylute- Had every chance to get by Revolutionary, distance a major question.
10. Will Take Charge- Yet to put two races together but coming into the Derby fresh may be to his benefit 
11. Governor Charlie- Moves up because he has the points, Sunland Derby field was weak
12. Java's War- Has every chance to move up with good effort in the Bluegrass 
13. Black Onyx- He is in, and he is consistent 
14. War Academy- Time for him to step up in Arkansas Derby 
15. Den's Legacy- Needs a big effort, to stay in the hunt in the Arkansas Derby 
16. Lines Of Battle- He is in the Derby for O'Brien, hopefully runs better than Daddy Long Legs
17. Uncaptured- Ran well off the layoff in the Spiral, may be favorite in Bluegrass
18. Overanalyze- Needs to rebound in a HUGE way in Arkansas Derby to stay on this list
19. Falling Sky- He has run well in every start this year, may be overmatched 
20. Departing- If he gets in, he is dangerous 

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