Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Kentucky Derby Top 20 #4

There will be minimal shake up in the top 10 this week in response to this weeks Sprial Stakes at Turfway Park and the Sunland Derby at Sunland Park, both worth 50 points. The Spiral was won by Black Onyx a horse who has seemed to improve on the turf and polytrack. Governor Charlie took down the 50 point of the Sunland Derby, against a relatively weak field.

Thursday will be this years first edition of stakes selections from around the world. The Dubai World Cup card, the Louisiana Derby card, and The Florida Derby card will all be covered.

Kentucky Derby Top 20
1. Verrazano- Heavily anticipated matchup with Vyjack upcoming in Wood Memorial
2. Orb- Runs into Shanghai Bobby in the Florida Derby this week, need to see a strong effort
3. Flashback- He gets a mulligan in the Santa Anita Derby, and he gets Garrett Gomez
4. Vyjack- Needs to run close to Verrazano in the Wood Memorial to hold this spot
5. It'smyluckyday- Shows down with Shanghai Bobby and Orb in the Florida Derby
6. Hear the Ghost- He received a very nice setup in the San Felipe
7. Shanghai Bobby- Still believe he will win the Florida Derby
8.  Oxbow- This horse always fires, so he moves up a spot
9.  Palice Malice- Needs to show who he is in the Louisiana Derby
10. Revolutionary- Moved down because upon reflection Withers field was weak
11. Will Take Charge- Not going to knock the Rebel winner, but he needs to put two races together
12. Java's War- New on the list, once McPeek chose the Bluegrass over Dubai he was added
13. Normandy Invasion- He needs to run very well in the Wood Memorial just to get in
14.  Goldencents- He should not be forgotten, the San Felipe speed duel was a disaster for him
15. Den's Legacy- Like Oxbow he always fires, he just is not as talented.
16. Black Onyx- He seems to be a poly/turf horse, but he has also fired almost every time
17. Governor Charlie- He has the 50 points, so he needs to be on the list
18. War Academy- He is going to get one chance to get in, but he is talented
19. Mr. Palmer- His win at Laurel was impressive, but the Wood is a very tough race
20. Super Ninety Nine- Needs to run top two in Santa Anita Derby to get in

Monday, March 18, 2013

Derby Top 20 #3

Following this week's Rebel Stakes,  there is minimal shake up in the Derby Top 20, the first and third finishers of the Rebel Stakes enter into the Derby top 20, but otherwise it is very similar.

Kentucky Derby Top 20
1. Verrazano- Heavily favored
2. Orb- Will not pick him in the Florida Derby, but he will be dangerous on the first saturday in May.
3. Flashback- Extremely talented, and will learn from previous start
4. Vyjack- Undefeated and talented
5. It'smyluckyday- Needs to prove his worth in Florida Derby
6. Hear the Ghost- Santa Anita Derby will be proving ground for him
7. Shanghai Bobby- He will win the Florida Derby, but he does not want 10 furlongs
8. Revolutionary- We will see how good he really is in Louisiana Derby
9. Oxbow- Yet to have a good trip, he is dangerous
10. Palice Malice- Son of Curlin should love the added distance
11. Will Take Charge
12. Normandy Invasion
13. Goldencents
14. Den's Legacy
15. Tiz a Minister
16. War Academy
17. Elnaawi
18. Speak Logistics
19. Mr. Palmer
20. Titletown Five

Sunday, March 10, 2013

Derby Top 20 #2

There has been plenty of action around the country since the initial Kentucky Derby top 20 came out.  There will be plenty of changes in this week's edition, but there will be no change at number 1, Verrazano, at the moment is head and shoulders above the rest.  

Kentucky Derby Top 20
1. Verrazano- Tampa Bay Derby win confirmed that he is indeed a star, safely at number 1
2. Orb- Has the right style to win a Kentucky Derby, may not win Florida Derby, but he doesn't have to
3. Flashback- Tough trip in San Felipe, still near the top, but needs to rebound in SA Derby
4. Vyjack- Loved his Gotham win, but he will get tested in the Wood Memorial 
5. It'smyluckyday- Needs to validate Holy Bull win in the Florida Derby against a tough field
6. Hear the Ghost- Pace aided win in San Felipe, but certainly flourished at two turns
7. Shanghai Bobby- BC Juvenile proving to be weak, he needs to prove himself at a distance 
8. Revolutionary- Louisiana Derby next for the very talented Withers winner, needs to be tested
9. Super Ninety Nine- Not Sure he will be challenged at all in Rebel 
10. Palice Malice- This son of Curlin is improving in every start, and is forgotten at times 
11. Normandy Invasion
12. Goldencents 
13.  Oxbow
14. Tiz a Minister
15. Elnaawi 
16. Speak Logistics 
17. Delhomme 
18. Mr. Palmer 
19. Overanalyze 
20. Departing