Wednesday, October 31, 2012

The Breeders Cup World Thoroughbred Championships

Every year the best horses from around the world line up in the starting gate for the Breeders Cup World Thoroughbred Championships. This year is highlighted by three races in particular, the Breeders Cup Ladies Classic, the Breeders Cup Mile, and lastly the Breeders Cup Classic. All three races are filled with phenomenal talent. Below are selections for the fifteen Breeders Cup races starting with Friday, each race with have my three selections, followed by one longer priced horse who I believe will be a factor in each race. I have provided in-depth analysis on the Breeders Cup Ladies Classic, Turf, Mile, and Classic, along with picks. I hope you enjoy the Breeders Cup!!

Breeders Cup Saturday

Race 4 GI Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf $1,000,000
1. Fantastic Moon (12-1) *Longshot
2. Joha (6-1)
3. Artigiano (8-1)

Race 5 GI Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Sprint $1,000,000
1. Groupie Doll (1-1) Best bet of the Breeders Cup
2. Switch (12-1) *Longshot
3. Turbulent Descent (5-1)

Race 6 GI Breeders Cup Dirt Mile $1,000,000
1. Jersey Town (4-1) *Love him!
2. Shackleford (2-1)
5. Fed Biz (6-1)
Longshot- Delegation (12-1)

Race 7 GI Breeders Cup Turf Sprint $1,000,000
1. Unbridled's Note (5-1)
2. Reneesgotzip (8-1)
3. California Flag (6-1)
Longshot- Tale of a Champion (30-1)

Race 8 GI Breeders Cup Juvenile $2,000,000
1. Shanghai Bobby (2-1)
2. Power Broker (5-2)
3. He's Had Enough (20-1) *Longshot

Race 9 GI Breeders Cup Turf $3,000,000
1. Point of Entry (3-1)
2. Trailblazer (6-1)
3. Shareta (7-2)
Longshot- Cogito (30-1)

Point of Entry is a beast. He loves the firm ground that Santa Anita will offer. Point of Entry is the best American chance to win a route on the grass on the Breeders Cup program. Point of Entry is tactical and will be right in behind the hot pace. He will get first jump on the deep closers and will hold off the classy Europeans, and the well prepared Japanese invader Trailblazer.

Race 10 G1 Breeders Cup Sprint $1,500,000
1. Poseidon's Warrior (15-1) *Longshot
2. The Lumber Guy (6-1)
3. Amazombie (4-1)

Race 11 GI Breeders Cup Mile $2,000,000
1. Wise Dan (9-5)
2. Excelebration (2-1)
3. Animal Kingdom (8-1)
Longshot- Suggestive Boy (15-1)

The Breeders Cup Mile is in my opinion the best race of the 2012 Breeders Cup. Wise Dan, who is the best horse in the United States, clashes with Excelebration the second best miler in Europe, only behind the mighty Frankel. The race also features the long awaited return of 2011 Kentucky Derby hero Animal Kingdom. I believe Wise Dan is in impeccable form right now, and will not lose. Excelebration is a star, but nobody is beating Wise Dan right now. I look for Animal Kingdom to run a huge race first off the layoff, but he just may need one more race before he is beating the likes of Wise Dan.

Race 12 GI Breeders Cup Classic $5,000,000
1. Game on Dude (9-5)
2. Fort Larned (5-1)
3. To Honor and Serve (8-1)
Longshot- Pool Play (30-1)

The Breeders Cup Classic begins and ends with Game on Dude. He is the obvious choice in the race, and I love him. He is five for five at Santa Anita, and has speed in a race that lacks speed. Game on Dude will be sitting right off of expected pace setter Fort Larned, and I believe will run him down on his way to a Breeders Cup Classic victory. Fort Larned is going to set the pace, and I believe he will get the 1 1/4 miles distance of the Classic in his second start off of a brief freshening. His victory in the Whitney Stakes was very impressive and I look for him to duplicate that, but Game on Dude is just too good. To Honor and Serve will likely not receive a lot of attention based on his lackluster performance in the Kelso Handicap, but contrary to popular belief, I think To Honor and Serve is a distance horse who lacked conditioning in last years Breeders Cup Classic. I believe he is a major threat here. The race has many horses who figure to be long prices, but one horse who will be a short price, Flat Out, is a major throwout for me. Flat Out has been nothing but a dud away from New York, I believe he will hate the Santa Anita surface and for this reason I hate him in the Classic. Alpha is not good enough to beat these horses. Pool Play is not getting very much respect, but in two career starts on conventional dirt, he is two for two with a GI win. I think Pool Play could hit the board if the pace is hotter than expected. Mucho Macho Man will get a lot of play, but I am not sure he will get the distance, and for that reason he is a throw out for me. Ron the Greek and Richard's Kid are both GI winners over the track, but on Saturday I believe they are just not good enough. I just do not see Brilliant Speed, Nonios, or Handsome Mike having an impact on the race. Game on Dude is too good, he has been too good this year, and at Santa Anita, and for that reason I LOVE the favorite to win this years Breeders Cup Classic.

Breeders Cup Friday

Race 4 Breeders Cup Juvenile Sprint $500,000
1. Merit Man (8-5)
2. Sweet Shirley Mae (4-1)
3. Super Ninety Nine (5-2)
Longshot- Ceiling Kitty (12-1)

Race 5 GII Breeders Cup Marathon $500,000
1.  Eldaafer (8-1)
2. Worth Repeating (5-1)
3. Atigun (9-2)
Longshot- Grassy (30-1)

Race 6 GI Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf $1,000,000
1. Sky Lantern (3-1)
2. Flashy Ways (10-1)
3. Watsdachances (4-1)
Longshot- Kitten's Point (12-1)

Race 7 GI Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies $2,000,000
1.Kauai Katie (3-1)
2. Executiveprivilege
3.  Beholder
Longshot- Spring in the Air

Race 8 GI Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf $2,000,000
1. Ridasiyana (4-1)
2. The Fugue (7-2)
3. Marketing Mix (9-2)
Longshot- In Lingerie (12-1)

Race 9 GI Breeders Cup Ladies Classic $2,000,000
1. Awesome Feather (3-1)
2. Royal Delta (9-5)
3. Questing (4-1)
The Ladies Classic is loaded with speed horses, the speed includes My Miss Aurelia, Questing, Awesome Feather, and Love and Pride. I expect Awesome Feather to let Questing, My Miss Aurelia, and Love and Pride to duel it out. Awesome Feather will sit right off of the hot pace and get separation on the superstar mare Royal Delta turning for home. Awesome Feather will go to 11-11 and Royal Delta will run a valiant second in this years Breeders Cup Ladies Classic.